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All fixtures Predicted lineups — confirmed XIs load ~1 hour before kick-off
yellow 10 · red 25
Matchweek 9 · Mon 2 Nov, 20:00
Newcastle United v Everton
8th PL 2026/27 v 11th PL 2026/27 Referee TBC
Market: Newcastle United favourites at 42% (margin-free consensus of 20 UK books & exchanges)
xG model, referee and away-side context on Pro
Market odds vs model
Home
2.25
mkt 44%
model 47%
Draw
3.70
mkt 27%
model 47%
Away
3.00
mkt 33%
model 47%
Over 2.5
1.70
mkt 59%
model 47%
Under 2.5
2.15
mkt 47%
model 47%
Match intelligence
How NEW and EVE match up
Result prediction
What decides this match
Pro result model
Opponent-adjusted projections
Shots, corners & fouls for this matchup
Pro projections
Playing style · 80 league matches tracked
Style profiles
Newcastle United
8 games · 1.38 PPG (last 5 1.20)
38% of shots from outside the box
Leaky defenceCard-heavy
Possession %
50.8#8
Shots on target
3.4#17
On target conceded
5.1#4
Shots
9.5#11
Shots outside box
4.5#10
Long shots conceded
7.0#1
Corners won
4.5#12
Corners conceded
5.5#4
Key passes
9.8#12
Tackles + interceptions
20.1#18
Fouls committed
11.9#9
Fouls won
11.0#12
Cards
2.8#3
Everton
8 games · 1.25 PPG (last 5 1.00)
29% of shots from outside the box
Clean, low-foul
Possession %
46.5#12
Shots on target
4.8#7
On target conceded
4.2#10
Shots
9.5#9
Shots outside box
4.0#12
Long shots conceded
5.1#6
Corners won
4.9#8
Corners conceded
6.0#2
Key passes
10.9#8
Tackles + interceptions
25.0#13
Fouls committed
8.1#20
Fouls won
12.2#6
Cards
1.9#14
Per-game averages this season · bar = vs league average (half-way mark) · #rank of 20 (1 = most).
Predicted XIs · recent starts, minus injuries & suspensions
Lineups & player projections
| Player | Pos | Fouls committed | Fouls won | Shots | Shots on target |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lukáš Horníček | G | 1.42 (1.3) · 2+ 41% | |||
| Lewis Hall | D | 1.42 (1.3) · 2+ 41% | |||
| Malick Thiaw | D | 1.42 (1.3) · 2+ 41% | |||
| S. Botman | D | 1.42 (1.3) · 2+ 41% | |||
| L. Miley | D | 1.42 (1.3) · 2+ 41% | |||
| Harvey Barnes | M | 1.42 (1.3) · 2+ 41% | |||
| Joe Willock | M | 1.42 (1.3) · 2+ 41% | |||
| Nico González | M | 1.42 (1.3) · 2+ 41% | |||
| Jacob Murphy | M | 1.42 (1.3) · 2+ 41% | |||
| M. Fernandez-Pardo | M | 1.42 (1.3) · 2+ 41% | |||
| Yoane Wissa | F | 1.42 (1.3) · 2+ 41% | |||
Pro player matchups
Projection (season average) · probability. Green = matchup pushes the player above his average, red = below.
AI scout
Angles the numbers point to
Style clash — the home side's press meets a back line that turns the ball over...
Pro AI match preview
Referee
Not yet appointed
Premier League referees are usually confirmed early in match week. Averages appear here as soon as the appointment is published.
Booking points projection
Cards & bookings
Pro bookings model
Value tips for this fixture
Pro value bet
Trends triggered by this matchup
Player prop trend
Everton
Everton · 2+ fouls won
vs sides above them (PL 2026/27)
Pro trend
Player prop trend
Everton
Everton · 1+ cards
vs sides above them (PL 2026/27)
Pro trend
Player prop trend
Everton
Everton · 2+ fouls won
vs sides above them (PL 2026/27)
Pro trend
Team trend
Newcastle United
Newcastle United · Over 2.5 goals
vs sides below them (PL 2026/27)
Pro trend
Team trend
Newcastle United
Newcastle United · Both teams score
vs sides below them (PL 2026/27)
Pro trend
home · Premier League 2026/27
Newcastle United
WLLWL
@ Crystal Palace (17)2-0 W
vs Aston Villa (9)0-1 L
@ Coventry (19)1-4 L
vs Hull City (10)2-1 W
@ Leeds (7)1-4 L
vs Bournemouth (13)2-2 D
Situational splits
| Split | P | PPG | GF | GA | O2.5 | BTTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season 2026/27 | 8 | 1.38 | 1.50 | 1.75 | 62% | 62% |
| vs sides above | 8 | 1.50 | 1.40 | 1.20 | 50% | 50% |
| vs sides below | 8 | 1.50 | 1.40 | 1.20 | 50% | 50% |
| Home | 8 | 1.50 | 1.40 | 1.20 | 50% | 50% |
| Away | 8 | 1.50 | 1.40 | 1.20 | 50% | 50% |
Opposition splits
away · Premier League 2026/27
Everton
LLDWD
@ Arsenal (2)0-2 L
vs Chelsea (5)0-2 L
@ Hull City (10)2-2 D
vs Ipswich (12)1-0 W
@ Tottenham (14)0-0 D
vs Manchester United (16)2-2 D
Situational splits
| Split | P | PPG | GF | GA | O2.5 | BTTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season 2026/27 | 8 | 1.25 | 1.00 | 1.12 | 25% | 38% |
| vs sides above | 8 | 1.50 | 1.40 | 1.20 | 50% | 50% |
| vs sides below | 8 | 1.50 | 1.40 | 1.20 | 50% | 50% |
| Home | 8 | 1.50 | 1.40 | 1.20 | 50% | 50% |
| Away | 8 | 1.50 | 1.40 | 1.20 | 50% | 50% |
Opposition splits