Pro value bet
All fixtures Predicted lineups — confirmed XIs load ~1 hour before kick-off
yellow 10 · red 25
Matchweek 9 · Sat 31 Oct, 15:00
Coventry City v Sunderland
19th PL 2026/27 v 20th PL 2026/27 Referee TBC
Market: Sunderland favourites at 40% (margin-free consensus of 21 UK books & exchanges)
xG model, referee and away-side context on Pro
Market odds vs model
Home
3.00
mkt 33%
model 47%
Draw
3.50
mkt 29%
model 47%
Away
2.38
mkt 42%
model 47%
Over 2.5
1.88
mkt 53%
model 47%
Under 2.5
1.89
mkt 53%
model 47%
BTTS
1.73
mkt 58%
model 47%
Match intelligence
How COV and SUN match up
Result prediction
What decides this match
Pro result model
Opponent-adjusted projections
Shots, corners & fouls for this matchup
Pro projections
Playing style · 80 league matches tracked
Style profiles
Coventry City
8 games · 0.75 PPG (last 5 1.20)
32% of shots from outside the box
Direct, low possessionFew shots
Possession %
37.5#19
Shots on target
3.1#19
On target conceded
4.5#8
Shots
8.1#19
Shots outside box
3.4#20
Long shots conceded
6.6#2
Corners won
3.8#17
Corners conceded
4.9#7
Key passes
7.4#19
Tackles + interceptions
20.6#17
Fouls committed
10.8#13
Fouls won
10.9#13
Cards
1.1#20
Sunderland
8 games · 0.62 PPG (last 5 0.20)
39% of shots from outside the box
Few shotsWins lots of fouls
Possession %
48.6#10
Shots on target
4.0#12
On target conceded
3.8#15
Shots
8.2#18
Shots outside box
4.6#9
Long shots conceded
4.6#12
Corners won
4.2#13
Corners conceded
4.2#12
Key passes
8.8#15
Tackles + interceptions
23.4#14
Fouls committed
11.2#12
Fouls won
13.6#3
Cards
2.1#9
Per-game averages this season · bar = vs league average (half-way mark) · #rank of 20 (1 = most).
Predicted XIs · recent starts, minus injuries & suspensions
Lineups & player projections
| Player | Pos | Fouls committed | Fouls won | Shots | Shots on target |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carl Rushworth | G | 1.42 (1.3) · 2+ 41% | |||
| Bobby Thomas | D | 1.42 (1.3) · 2+ 41% | |||
| Jay DaSilva | D | 1.42 (1.3) · 2+ 41% | |||
| Ethan Pinnock | D | 1.42 (1.3) · 2+ 41% | |||
| Milan van Ewijk | D | 1.42 (1.3) · 2+ 41% | |||
| Matt Grimes | M | 1.42 (1.3) · 2+ 41% | |||
| Jack Rudoni | M | 1.42 (1.3) · 2+ 41% | |||
| Caleb Yirenkyi | M | 1.42 (1.3) · 2+ 41% | |||
| Brandon Thomas-Asante | M | 1.42 (1.3) · 2+ 41% | |||
| Ephron Mason-Clark | M | 1.42 (1.3) · 2+ 41% | |||
| Sidiki Cherif | F | 1.42 (1.3) · 2+ 41% | |||
Pro player matchups
Projection (season average) · probability. Green = matchup pushes the player above his average, red = below.
AI scout
Angles the numbers point to
Style clash — the home side's press meets a back line that turns the ball over...
Pro AI match preview
Referee
Not yet appointed
Premier League referees are usually confirmed early in match week. Averages appear here as soon as the appointment is published.
Booking points projection
Cards & bookings
Pro bookings model
Value tips for this fixture
home · Premier League 2026/27
Coventry City
LLWWL
vs Fulham (15)0-1 L
@ Tottenham (14)1-3 L
vs Newcastle (8)4-1 W
@ Nottingham Forest (18)1-0 W
vs Brighton (3)0-5 L
@ Manchester City (1)0-1 L
Situational splits
| Split | P | PPG | GF | GA | O2.5 | BTTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season 2026/27 | 8 | 0.75 | 0.75 | 1.88 | 50% | 25% |
| vs sides above | 8 | 1.50 | 1.40 | 1.20 | 50% | 50% |
| vs sides below | 8 | 1.50 | 1.40 | 1.20 | 50% | 50% |
| Home | 8 | 1.50 | 1.40 | 1.20 | 50% | 50% |
| Away | 8 | 1.50 | 1.40 | 1.20 | 50% | 50% |
Opposition splits
away · Premier League 2026/27
Sunderland
DLLLL
vs Leeds (7)0-0 D
@ Bournemouth (13)0-2 L
vs Brighton (3)0-2 L
@ Manchester City (1)3-5 L
vs Arsenal (2)0-2 L
@ Brentford (6)1-1 D
Situational splits
| Split | P | PPG | GF | GA | O2.5 | BTTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season 2026/27 | 8 | 0.62 | 0.75 | 1.75 | 25% | 38% |
| vs sides above | 8 | 1.50 | 1.40 | 1.20 | 50% | 50% |
| vs sides below | 8 | 1.50 | 1.40 | 1.20 | 50% | 50% |
| Home | 8 | 1.50 | 1.40 | 1.20 | 50% | 50% |
| Away | 8 | 1.50 | 1.40 | 1.20 | 50% | 50% |
Opposition splits